European Sports Betting

Blog Title: European Sports Betting

A blog about my adventures in the wonderful world of Online Sports Betting. Learn from my mistakes, gain an advantage by using my research or just follow my lead!

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European Sports Betting

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Weekend 22-24 August bets

Last week my bets weren't as good as I hope for. Only one gold combination to minimize the losses. So this weekend bets have to be better. Maybe you expected some tips for this week International Friendlies but I have learned not to bet on friendlies. You will see that a lot a coaches are experimenting, other countries have appointed new coaches and others need to fill in gaps of players who resigned from the international competition. So to much factors are into play to make some save bets.

For this weekend bets I have selected 12 matches. More or less the same number as last week but this week I will play 4 combos of 3 matches. Also I did print out all the Unibet odds for this weekend matches. I have placed my bets really soon in the week so a lot of these odds will change during the week.

So here is what you all have been waiting on:
Triple 1:
This triple bet is based on a win of Liverpool, Germinal Beerschot and Hertha BSC. Liverpool won last weekend but scores the winning goals in the last 10 minutes. Maybe they got more then they deserved. But a home game against Middlesbrough should not be a problem. GBA will face Dender at home, while Hertha will host the game against Bielefeld.
This triple can be worth 3,43?.

Triple 2:
This triples kicks off on Friday, when Hannover 96 plays at home against Cottbus. The two other games are played on Saturday. It would be great if Tottenham and Standard Liege both could win their home game. Tottenham has to prove themselves for their home crowd that they stand a chance of competing at the top of the league after the disappointment of last week. Standard has the downside to it will face Liverpool the game after to see who may proceed to the group stage of the Champions league, but Westerlo shouldn't be capable of stealing away some points.
This triple can be worth 3.15?.

Triple 3:
All three matches within this triple are played on Saturday. Hamburger SV plays their first home game of the season against Karlsruher. After their draw at Bayern Munich I don't expect anything less than a home win. Lokeren, the champions of the draws, will play their first home game against Tubize, which I qualify as the sitting duck in the Jupiler Pro League. The most risking match in this triple is the predicted home win from Hoffenheim against Borussia M'Gladbach. But this increases of course the potential pay-out.
This triple is worth 4.89?.

Triple 4:
This triple is mainly focussed on the French Ligue 1. Where I predict home wins of Bordeaux against Nantes and Auxerre against Nice. For the third game I'm hoping that Manchester United will wipe out their bad start and will beat Portsmouth during their first away game of the season.
This triple is worth 5.18?.

The resume:
Triple 1: Liverpool, GBA and Hertha BSC -> 3.43?
Triple 2: Tottenham, Standard Liege and Hannover 96 -> 3.15?
Triple 3: Hamburger SV, Hoffenheim and Lokeren -> 4.89?
Triple 4: Auxerre, Bordeaux and Manchester United -> 5.18?

Total ante: 4?
Potential pay-out: 16.68?
Everything in one combo: 276,34?

BR after these bets: 30.49?

Good luck,
Dremeber

Online betting Guide

I did plan to post my bets for next week already but ... my bookies didn't had the odds yet. Most of the time if you plan to bet on the favorites it is better to place your bet as soon as possible. Most of the time the odds drop when more and more people are placing their bets. Remember that these odds (and the money placed) should balance each other.

Improve your betting with OLBG Betting School
So instead I will write a little post about OLBG.
Well OLBG is a free betting competition. Here you can pratice your betting style before going to risk your own money. But it gets even better, they pay real cash prizes to the best tipster. They offer bets in all kind of sports and all kind of betting types.

Give it a shot.
Dremeber

Let's get started!

After this weekend 4 major, okay 3 and Belgium, competitions are on its way. The first match days the bookies are offering always great odds.
My previous bets were terrible, they were placed to quickly without enough time to over think the bets. I will not step into that trap again. These are dream bets for the bookies. Always take your time, one of the major betting rules.

My rule for this season. I cannot wipe out my previous bets and I shouldn't, so my starting BR was 50?. 39? still remaining, with a few outstanding season bets. I hope to double this BR before the winter break. Like always my maximum bet is 1?.
No exceptions!!!!

My betting plans for this weekend are:
- 1 triple toto type bet,
- 4 double toto type bets,
- 10 supertoto bets.

My first action was to print out all 1x2 odds for all the 4 competitions (Ligue 1, Premier League, Bundesliga and the Belgium Jupiler Pro League).
Second actions was to select the games I did want to play. 11 games popped up out of this selection. Based on this I decided to place 5 bets, like placed above. Besides this I will bet 10 supertoto´s on Unibet, costing me 1?. So, my total ante for this weekend will be 6?!

Triple:
The triple bet consists of 3 wins. I hope that Manchester United, Marseille and AA Gent will win their game. All these games will be played on Sunday. Marseille plays at home against Auxerre. Never an easy game but a team who considers themselves a candidate for the title has to win all their games at home. Also no excuses for Manchester United, which still will play without C. Ronaldo, who faces Newcastle at home. AA Gent is another teams which hope to end within the top of the league.
This bet has a potential pay-out of 2.69?.

Double 1:
Anderlecht and Tottenham. I did combine these 2 games within one combo cause they have the highest odds. A win for Anderlecht is rewarded with a pay-out of 2.60 and a win for Tottenham is still good for 2.25. So this 1? bet has a potential outcome of 5.85?. So yes it is risky but the possibility that both teams will one are within my eyes high enough to call this the value bet of the weekend. Anderlecht has an away game at Cercle Brugge, the revelation of last season. Surprisingly no of the start players left the team but we all know that the confirmation is always more difficult than the rise. Anderlecht plays already on the first match day a game which will make or break the season, they just can´t afford another blow after the elimination from Europe and the loss of the Belgian Supercup. Tottenham has to difficult away game to Middlesbrough.

Double 2:
Well the second double has a pay-out of 2.92? and is based on the hope that and Standard Liege and Werder Bremen will win their away game. Both games are played on Saturday. Standard has a relative easy away game to Dender, who are hoping to avoid relegation. W. Bremen has a more difficult away game at Arminia Bielefeld, which I don´t consider a to difficult hurdle.

Double 3:
This double has a pay-out of 2.22?. Chelsea and KRC Genk will kick off the competition with a home game, so both team should win. I consider the home game from Chelsea against Portsmouth relative risk free, but you never know. The other games in this combo is a lot trickier. Genk has to face one of their black beast, namely GBA. But I placed this bet on the knowledge that Genk did some excellent transfers and these guys want to present themselves to the home crowd, while GBA still has to find a good replacement for Losada.

Double 4:
Double 4 is the double with the lowest pay-out (1.95?) and should be the bet with the lowest risk. Both Arsenal and Schalke 04 should win their home games easily. Arsenal has to face West Bromwich, will Schalke hosts the game against Hannover 96.

The pay-outs:
Triple 1: 2.69 -> Lost. Man U failed!
Double 1: 5.85 -> Lost. Tottenham failed!
Double 2: 2.92 -> Lost. Werder Bremen failed!
Double 3: 2.22 ->
Double 4: 1.95 -> Won!

Total possible pay-out: 15.63?
Total ante: 6?

BR after these bets 33?.

The odds in random order for the individual games:
Cercle Brugge - RSC Anderlecht: 2.60
Dender - Standard Liege: 1.61
Chelsea - Portsmouth: 1.33
Manchester United: Newcastle: 1.28
Marseille - Auxerre: 1.48
AA Gent - Bergen: 1.42
KRC Genk - Germinal Beerschot: 1.70
Arsenal - WBA: 1.22
Middlesbrough - Tottenham: 2.25
Schalke 04 - Hannorver 96: 1.60
Arminia Bielefeld - Werder Bremen: 1.80
If you would combine all these games in one combo it has a pay-out of 198?.

Gl with betting,
Dremeber

CL qualifion bets

Today I did start my new BR, which should last for the complete Football season.
I deposited 50 euro, so with the 4 already placed season bets my starting BR is 100 euros.

Today I have placed to following bets:
2 correct score bets on Standard Liege vs Liverpool. It can haunt on Sclessin and Liverpool will know it. Both in the advantage of Standard Liege.
Standard Liege - Liverpool: 2-0 -> 45.00
Standard Liege - Liverpool: 2-1 -> 22.00

A combo for the games of today with a potential pay-out of 4.84
Famagusta - Olympiakos: 2
FC Twente - Arsenal: 2
Shaktar Donetsk - Dinamo Zagreb: 1

Another Combo for today with a pay-out of 2.80.
Brann - Marseille: 2
Levski Sofia - Bate: 1

A single bet on Standard Liege again good for a potential pay-out of 6.00.

And one qualification combo with a pay-out of 1.65. Claiming that Shaktar and Marseille will proceed to the group stages.

Good luck,
Dremeber

Preview Premier League 2008/2009

How was it last season?
Well last season the battle for the title lasted until the last match day. Chelsea and Man U entered the last match day with the same points but with a clear goal advantage for the Reds. While Chelsea was hoping that Man U. would loose some points, they only tied against Bolton but due to the win of Man U on Wigan it wouldn't have mattered.

Arsenal ended on the third place and Liverpool disappointed not so much with the 4th place but with the gap between them and the top of the league.

The transfers:
In total the teams of the Premier league spend in total around 388.000.000 ?. Yep, you are reading this correct. The biggest spender is Liverpool (62 million ?) (Keane 24.000.000? desperately hoping to close the gap with the top 3, closely followed by Tottenham which bought new players for 61 million ?.
Man U on the other hand is very quit on the transfer market. They even made a profit in the middle season of 6.500.000?. Chelsea made a loss of 12 million mostly because they paid around 20 million for Bosingwa of Porto. Arsenal's most expensive transfer is Nasri of Marseille, making Marseilli 16 million richer.

The favorites with their odds:
All odds are for an ante of 1?. Fitst the odd for the team taking the title, followed by the odd for the team to end within the first 4 places.

1. Manchester United ..... 2.25 - 1.01
2. Chelsea ........................ 3.00 - 1.01
3. Arsenal ......................... 5.50 - 1.08
4. Liverpool ...................... 7.50 - 1.16
5. Tottenham .................. 70.00 - 6.00

The relegation candidates with their odds:
1. Hull City ................. 1.33
2. Stoke City .............. 1.40
3. WBA ....................... 2.25
4. Fullham .................. 3.50
5. Bolton ..................... 3.75

My bet will be that Tottenham will end within the first 4. It can happen and the pay-out is great.

Cheers,
Dremeber

Preview Bundesliga 2008/2009

One of the competitions kicking of this weekend is the Bundesliga. One of the most difficult competitions to predict within in Europe.

There can be so many surprised within a weekend, that it is one of the goldmines of the bookies. Besides Bayern Munich it is also rare to see a team on the top for a decade.


How was it last year?
Well it was no surprise that Fc Bayern Munich took the title after major investments. They did buy player for all lines with as undisputed star, Ribery.
At a considerable distance Werder Bremen took second place, with a 2 point lead on Schalke 04.
On the bottom side of the table, Duisburg, Hansa Rostock and Fc Nurnberg took the dive.

The favorites for this year:
Just like in France, their is only one favorites and that is Fc Bayern Munich. Everybody expect that they will just extend their title. But it will be a strange season for them. It is the first season within Kahn as goalie, which is their biggest loss. On the incoming side they had a calm season the biggest name is Borowski.

The outsiders:
According to the bookies, their are 2 outsides. Schalke 04 and Werder Bremen, both hoping to close the gap with Bayern Munich.
Schalke 04:
Of course with a Dutch head coach, they focussed on the Dutch Market. They bought Engelaar from Twente for 5.500.000 Euro and upcoming star Farfan from PSV for 10 million euros, which is a team transfer record. On the outgoing side it relatively quiet.
Werder Bremen:
Werder focussed on buying promosing players, which should give the team more depth. Probably a good choice cause they only really had to replace Klasnic.

The relegation candidates:
3 relegation spots in the Bundesliga and 3 teams which the bookies think that are rather doesn't have a chance to prolongue their stay in the First Bundesliga. Those are Arminia Bielefeld, Cottbus and last but not least Karlsruher SC.

A team to keep an eye on:
Last year Hoffenheim took the title in the second Bundesliga in their first year in the second Bundesliga. The owner of the team is Hopp, who is one of the founders of SAP, third largest IT company. So you know where the money is coming from. Last year Hoffenheim had the second largest transfer budget in Germany andthey did spend 18.4 miljon euros on players. So a safe bet would be that they won't relegate.

The odds:
For taking the title:
Fc Bayern Munich -> 1.45
Werder Bremen -> 8.00
Schalke 04 -> 8.00
Wolfsburg -> 35.00
Stuttgart -> 35.00

To end within the first 3:
Fc Bayern Munich -> 1.02
Werder Bremen -> 1.75
Schalke 04 -> 1.90
Wolfsburg -> 4.50
Stuttgart -> 4.50
Hamburg SV -> 5.00
B. Dortmund -> 5.00

Good luck,
Dremeber

First Olympic Bet

While the opening ceremony still has to start, the games are already started. Yesterday the ladies kicked off the games and today the U-23 mens follow.

Time for a quick first Olympic bet I would say and due to the status of the BR I need a win. So with an attempt to maximize the value a combo of 4 games.
Ivory Coast - Argentina : 2 (1.50)
Honduras - Italy: 2 (1.30)
China - New Zealand: 1 (1.50)
Brazil - Belgium: 1 (1.35)
Potential pay-out: 3.95 euro.

After this bet, my BR is 1.50 Euro and 5 running bets. 4 season bets and 1 Olympic bet.
When I loose this Olympic bet I think I have to finance my BR a little bit and take it personnal again :).

Good luck,
Dremeber

Preview La ligue 1 2008/2009

Ligue 1Last season:
For the 7th time in a row Lyon took the French title. Very impressive in such a heavy league as the French ligue 1. But the gap is closing compared to the titles of 2 and 3 years ago. Will this be the last in the series? Bordeaux ended in a comfortable second place, 13 points before Marseille who took the ticket for the third qualifying round of the CL. Marseille had an impressive comeback when Eric Gerets took over but still the CL qualifying round ticket was a gift from Nancy, who lost during the last match day from Rennes.

On the bottom side of the table the third relegation place was also decided on the last match day. Due to a victory of Toulouse @ Valenciennes it was Lens, who joined Strasbourg and Metz to la ligue 2.

The favorites:
Lyon: Maybe only one real favorite and that is like always Olympic Lyon. 7 titles in a row. Wow. The only problem is that the odds for Lyon becoming again the French Champions are not good odds. For each euro invested you will get 1.60 in return.

The outsiders:
The bookies and also I see 2 outsides. Outsides is maybe a misplaced term and maybe they should belong to the list of favorites but due to the history and the 7 consecutive titles of Lyon there can be only 1 favorite.

Marseille: Juicy odds for Marseille if they take the title. The odd is 4.75. Very close to a good value bet. Their coach E. Gerets declared that he aim to take the title. He got the players he asked for, so he himself doesn't see any excuses if they don't.

Bordeaux: Runner up last year and in the season 2005/2006. Due to a bad start of Lyon and some ties of Lyon again at the end of the season the gap was only 4 points. I expect that they will loose to much points if due to the CL. The odds for Bordeaux taking the tittle is 6.50.

The one nominated for relegation:
There are 3 relegation places in the French competition and there are 2 teams who make a big chance of leaving Ligue 1 after only 1 season. And these are Grenoble and Le Havre.

The odds:













Title Place 1-3
Lyon 1.60 1.10
Marseille 4.75 1.65
Bordeaux 6.50 1.90
PSG 20.00 4.00
Saint Etienne 30.00 4.00
















Relegation
Grenoble 1.30
Le Havre 1.65
Caen 2.40


Good luck,
Dremeber

Anderlecht to qualify for the CL group stage?

I know it can be a gamble. But hey isn't all sports betting gambling?

Unibet is offering a great odd if RSC Anderlecht manages to qualify for the CL. They are giving back 5 Euro for each Euro invested. After last game I was baffled that they lost against Bate. So also had so many lame excuses but still I think that they have a much better team than Bate. Don't forget that Anderlecht is still preparing season 2008-2009 while Bate already has played a dozen of league games. So, yes it can be a long shot but I give it more than 50% chance of happening, so in my eyes the odds are appealing.

I'm now going to look for some nice value bets for the Olympics. But first of all I have to fund my BR again. After the lousy TDF and some misfortune in some other bets my BR almost dried out.

Cheers,
Dremeber

Champions League Qualification 2008/2009

Tonight the second qualification of the CL will start. There appear to be some easy bets but avoid the surprises.

4 teams should win their home game easily. These are Fenerbache, RSC Anderlecht, Glasgow Rangers and Panathinaikos but of course the value of these bets don't make them interesting. I expect that at least Sparta Prague or Dinamo Zagreb also should be capable of winning their away games. And because it is now wise to combine all these games within in combination I have to make some decisions.

Cause Anderlecht is one of my favorites teams, their are the first team in my combo. Because all start is difficult I decided to only have 2 games within my combination I have to pick one other game. By looking at the odds I have to decide between Sparta and Dinamo. My gut feeling says Sparta, so Sparta it is.

So the winning combo for tomorrow is:
Anderlecht and Sparta good for an odd of 2.24 for 1 EURO.
Bet is 1.25 for a possible payout of 2.80 EURO.

Good luck,
Dremeber

Bugger! I never did see them in this size!

Attracting title isn't?
So what I'm talking about! I mentoined a few posts ago that I finally did got my new car. Well here it is.My Ford Mondeo Titanium WagonSo where r we now? The topic still doesn't cover the tittle or does it? Now there are much bigger cars than this one. For sure.
Yesterday evening driving home from work, the little disaster happened. It was dark within minutes and this at 6.30 pm in the evening during summer. Few minutes later the hail started to poor down. If have never seen so big and violent hails in my life before. As a result, more than 100 dents in the hood, same for the roof, same for 1 door, etc...
My biggest worry (car wise that is) is that the insurance company belonging to the lease agancy will write a one week old car off, like they would do in Germany. In dutch: declare it "per total". In English total loss.

So here are the hails:
The hails that destroyed my MondeoThe hails which destroyed my Mondeo

So indeed: BUGGER.

Good luck at the table,
Dremeber

Football Season bets 2008/2009

In the post you can find all my season bets. All bets are 1 EURO bets.

Belgian Jupiler League:
Champion: RSC Anderlecht -> 1,70
Top 3: KRC Genk -> 3,50
Bottom 2: Tubize -> 1,75

Ligue 1:
Top 3: Marseille -> 1,65

Bundesliga:
Top 3: Werder Bremen -> 1.75

Premier League:
Top 4: Tottenham -> 6.00


Overview:
Total ante: 6 Euro
Maximum Pay-out: 16,35

Good luck,
Dremeber

Preview of the Belgian Jupiler League

In the weekend of the 19th of August the Belgian Jupiler League will kick off again.
Let's see who are the favorites for taking the title, the relegation candidates and the European places.

The Jupiler League:
The competition is played with 18 teams and a home and away points. Besides the Champion and the cup winner only the number 2 and 3 will play in Europe next season.
The numbers 17 and 18 will directly relegate to the second Division (Exqui League from this season on).

Last season:
Surprisingly Standard Liege took the title last year. With Anderlecht on a second place and Club Brugge at third. The surprise of the season however was Cercle Brugge with a rookie coach and attractive football ending in spot number 4.
Fc Brussels and Sint Truiden relegated without a chance on another year in the Jupiler League.

The Championship candidates:
Standard Liege
I don't see how Standard Liege can prolong their title. Although (at the moment) no important player left the team, the coach did surprisingly.
The new coach is Lazlo Boloni. The have the advantage that the team is already played in but the big disadvantage that the will probably use another tactic.
Also a big disadvantage is that they probably will have a set back when the discovered that the CL is unreachable from them.

Anderlecht
For me personally the big favorite for next year. Their biggest loss is the move from Ahmed Hassan to Al Ahly but at the end of the seaon last year they played their best games without him. I think that the other players will be releaved a that new stars will step up the plate.
On the incomming side they did great things. Let me rephrase this to: they have bought players with great potential and these are proving them right during the friendly games.
They expect a lot from Mattias Suarez from Belgrano and Kanu from Barueri. But I think that the home crowd will quickly embrace Losada from GBA as their new favorite.

Club Brugge
After a disappointing season, which was saved by qualifying for Europe thx to the missteps of AA Gent and Cercle Brugge, they invested a lot in new players and released the weaker players of last season.
However when I look at their incoming transfers I don't see big names but with the budget available to them they bought in great. They expect that Akpala from Charlerloi will be the next topscores of the Jupiler League.
Their biggest advantage that they have above Anderlecht and Standard is their head coach. Maybe the best coach at the moment in Belgium with great tactical knowledge and the gift the keep all pressure away from the players.

The outsiders:
I see only one and that is Racing Genk. They have invested a lot. Not only in buying new players but also in extending the contracts of vital players. And after so many years of rumours they finally did buy Joao Carlos from Lokeren. On of the best, maybe the best central defender of the Jupiler League.

The odds for a 1 EURO bet:
To win the title Place 1-3
Anderlecht 1.70 1.12
Club Brugge 4.50 1.37
Standard Liege 5.00 1.42
Racing Genk 16.00 3.50

To relegate:
Tubize 1.75
Kortrijk 2.10
Dender FCV EH 3.25

I think that this will be the top 4:
1. Anderlecht
2. Club Brugge
3. Racing Genk
4. Standard Liege

So where will I put my money on:
1 EURO on Anderlecht to win the title
1 EURO on Racing Genk to end in the top 3.
1 Euro on Tubize to 1.75

Hope this helps,
Dremeber

Ricco, Fuck Off

In the beginning I had my doubts about the TDF and their doping program but they were spot on! Great job done.

Now what is their magic secret. First of all, the French doping labs are capable of tracing EPO 3 in the urine of the riders and almost nobody knew this. Secondly it is the only country where EPO 3 is on the doping list. All other countries are still debatting what the allowed % of this new EPO is allowed within the body.

While this is a complete blow for my bets for the Polka Dot Jersey I'm still delighted with the discoveries. On the other hand, there is back hope for my bet on the white Jersey!

Good luck,
Dremeber

Finally a goal to play for

I never had a real goal where I was playing for but this has changed. It is time for a new tele and the ones which I like aren't exactly the cheapest ones.
I hope that our tele will keep going until at least March next year, so I have until to collect the necessary funds. Like that will happen, lol.

It would be great if I could pay lets sat 20% of the tele with my sportsbook and poker winnings. For once this is a long term challenge in stead of my normal small ones.

In the mean time, my bets for the TDF aren't going great.
Yellow: Valverde -> possibility 0%
Green: McEwen -> possibility 5%
Polka dot: Soler or De la Fuente -> possibility 1%
White: Andy Schleck -> possibility 0%

Luckily my tennis bets are keeping my BR alive. Currently it is standing on 9 EURO with 2 tennis bets remaining.

So lets say that 9 euro is the BR at the start of my challenge!

Good luck,
Dremeber

Tour de France: Update

How are my TDF bets holding?
Before the tour I placed 4 bets, one EURO on a possible winner of each Jersey. Well, I had to place a new bet on the Polka dot jersey today cause Soler did leave the tour. So I did place a new bet, this time with De la Fuente as expected winner, good for 14 to 1.

My bet on the yellow jersey is on Valverde. Still possible. He is currently in 17 position a little bit more than a minute behind Evans.

My green jersey bet is McEwen but that doesn't seem going according to plan. I guess the only thing that can get him the jersey is that the others drop out. I expect that Cavendish and Freire will do this but then there is still Hushovd.

My money for the white jersey is on Andy Schleck. Everything is going according plan here.

Good luck,
Dremeber

Betting on the Tour de France

Betting on cycling is never easy. To many possible winners, always a chance of bad luck, etc.... If you compare this variables with the odds you are most are mostly to low for a good value bet.
Therefor it is utmost important to compare the odds of some different bookies.

Why? Cause there can be big differences in these odds.
Let's take a look. I will compare some odds of 2 of the most known and respected bookies used in Belgium. The one is Unibet, the other is Bwin.

First let's take a look on the odds for the green jersey.
The odds @ unibet are the following:
Freire -> 3.00
Hushovd -> 3.75
McEwen -> 5.00

While Bwin does offer the following odds:
Hushovd -> 3.00
Freire -> 3.50
McEwen -> 6.00
So if you fancy a bet on Freire or McEwen you should put place your bet via Bwin, if on the other hand you have a strong believe in Hushovd, Unibet is the place to be.

No differences for the polka dot jersey, both bookies are offering these odds:
Soler -> 3.25
Moreau -> 8.00
Sanchez Samuel -> 9.00

For the creme the la creme of the betting for the tour, the yellow jersey.
Both bookies have to same 3 riders on 1,2 and 3. Both place Evans on the first place with a 3.25 to 1 odd. But there suddenly there are major differences. And again they put the same rider in second place, only this time you get a slightly better value for Valverde at Unibet, where the odd if 5 to 1, while at Bwin the odd is only 4.50 to 1. Menchov is third at both bookies but this time the odds at bwin (8.50 to 1) is better than at unibet (8 to 1).
The odds for the same 3 riders to end on the podium are better at bwin.

Now these differences looks like peanuts if you are playing like me with 1 EURO bets, but if you are a big gambler these differences can mean a big difference.

Suppose that my bets would be as followed:
Yellow Jersey: Valverde
Polka Dot Jersey: Moreau
Green Jersey: McEwen

If I would place all three bets at Unibet my possible pay-out could be: 3.25 + 8 + 5 = 16.25
The same bet at bwin would pay-out if won: 3.25 + 8 + 6 = 17.25
Only a difference of 1 Euro, but this means a free bet for me.

You can take if even one step further and make combos of this bet and then suddenly the differences are immense (if you compare this with the ante).
Combo @ Unibet: 130 EUR for a 1 EUR bet.
Combo @ Bwin: 156 EUR for a 1 EUR bet.

Good luck,
Dremeber

weekend bets

No fancy combos for this weekend.
First let me answer a question from the comment box. For one reason or the other I have a strong believe that Koeznetsova will win Wimbledon at the ladies tournament and the sportsbook gives a nice odd for a win of her (18 to 1). Unfortunately my sportsbook does not offer a win bet for the mens tournament, which is rather strange. Bet if I could place a bet there, I would put my money on Federer with Djokovic out of the way and Nadal who will net reach the second round. So my bet. I hope that Kiefer will win which could give me a profit of 6.5EUR.
Also did put a EURO on Mathieu for his match against Cilic.

Tomorrow we will know the new EC. My money, ok money is a strange word if u only play bets of 1 EUR, is on Germany. While Spain is the more deserved finalist, Germany stays Germany. Besides this the odds for Germany are 2 good to ignore.

BR after these bets: 15 EUR, still a profit of 5 EUR.
Good luck,
Dremeber

Wimbledon and EC 2008 bets

Today I made an incredible profit of 0.20 EUR. Better then a loss I guess.
For tomorrow only one tennis combo, mainly cause the womens odds where not available at the moment. Also 2 EC 2008 bets. 1 EUR on Germany, who should easily defeat the Turks, and another EURO at the correct score of 4-0 for Germany.


Current BR @ the moment: 17.21 EUR.

Good luck,
Dremeber

Wimbledon bets 24-6

Wimbledon started today. So the focus will change to there. Made some wrong bets during the last euro 2008 games so time for some quick wins.

The beginning of a Grand Slam always offers some great opportunities. I tried to get some maximum value with a minimal risk. At least thats the game plan. We will see how it turns out.
The problem with the early rounds is that there no money can be earned with the favorites. Betting on the outsiders on the other side can be to dangerous. So I my bets are on players, which aren't favorites not outsides but ones which should be capable of easily making it to the second round.

Here are my bets. Like always I tried to find 2 combos, where it is sufficient to win of the two to make a profit. I also changed the language of my bookie to English, which should make it easier for most of u to understand.



The answer on the question what my success rate is, is simple. I have no idea! With tennis it will be around 65%, Football is another story. This has to do with the fact that I don't only play single games or combos but also fancy bets on correct scores, which makes it much harder to get a good success rate. On the other hand 1 out of 6 or 7 correct bets is good enough to make a profit.
Unfortunately I also don't have any ROI figures, which probably would give a better insight. I don't want to put effort in stats like that. I tried it before but I always stop after some time with updating these records.

Good luck,
Dremeber

EC 2008: Bets 19-9

Hi all,

Without this words this time! A picture says more than a thousand words!


Good luck,
Dremeber

EC 2008: bets 18-6

Yesterday I was lucky. Thx to the Dutch B-Team.
Today I wont go overboard. Only 4 bets, good for an ante of 4 EUR, what else. Like every time 2 correct score bets. One on for a 3-0 victory for Spain, the other one is a predicted 2-1 victory for Sweden. (Have to admit that this bets was an error, it should have been a 2-1 victory for Spain) So, if I were you I would put a nickel on that one. An easy bet (I hope), is the side bet that Spain will have more possession than Greece . Last but not least is the combo Spain - Russia.

Update: and again a profitable day. A small profit (1,39 EUR), but it is a profit.
BR now: 27,68 EUR

Good luck,
Dremeber

Tickets 17-6

A need a good result and probably due to this I went a little bit overboard with my bets for today. 7 bets is total, good for an ante of 7 EUR. But hey, you only live once. And after the European Champs, I'm planning to start with a new BR and a scheme which should keep me busy until June next year!

Let's start with the correct score bets.

Besides these correct score bets, I also have 4 combo's around the 2 games of today. Almost save to say that if neither both of these games and in a draw it is good for me:Update: Thx to the Dutch B-team, 2 bets were correct, good for a profit of 9,64 EUR. Back enough ammo for tomorrow. WOOOOOOT!


Cross your fingers,
Dremeber

bets of today (16-6)

Yesterday was not such a good day. It was looking very promising until Cech misjudged a cross, eliminating 3 of my 4 bets. Strange how 1 millionaire can screw up your bet. But shit happens more than once. Still an amazing comeback of the Turks. A live bet after 75 minutes on a win for Turkey would have been great!

Today I added a fantasy bet. I'm pretty confident that Germany will have more corners in the first half then Austria. The other bets are a win for Germany, a win for Germany with 0-3 and a very profitable 0-2 (a pay-out of 18) victory for Croatia.


Good luck,
Dremeber

EC 2008: bets 15-06

I decided to play one combo today and 2 correct scores.
I hope that the substitutes of Portugal are motivated enough to beat Switzerland. Combine this with a x2 on Tsjechie and we have my combo.

The correct scores are one for Swiss - Portugal (0-3) and in the other one I expect that the Turks will suffer a 1-2 defeat. We will see.

Bankroll after these bets: 19.27

For the one who are interested. I have created a Widget which you can place on your website or blog. Feel free to add it.

The result looks like this:



Good luck,
Dremeber


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